图1: 1960-2022 年日本乳制品人均消费量(kg) ............................................................................ 5
图2: 1960-2022 年日本乳制品人均消费量结构 ................................................................................ 5
图3: 2009-2028E 日本乳制品市场规模及增速 .................................................................................. 6
图4: 2009-2028E 日本乳制品市场规模量价同比增速 ...................................................................... 6
图5: 1975-2022 年日本液态奶细分品类消费量占比 ........................................................................ 6
图6: 1966-2022 年日本固态奶细分品类消费量占比 ........................................................................ 6
图7: 日本 10 家生鲜乳指定生产者团体............................................................................................. 7
图8: 2015-2022 年主要国家原料价均价对比(元/kg) ................................................................... 7
图9: 2019-2023 年日本饮用奶格局(销售额计) ............................................................................ 7
图10: 2023 年日本奶酪和酸奶市场格局(销售额计).................................................................... 7
图11: 明治集团发展历程 ..................................................................................................................... 8
图12: 2009-2023 年明治控股收入、归母净利润及增速(十亿日元) .......................................... 8
图13: 2022 年明治控股不同业务日本市占率.................................................................................... 8
图14: 2010-2023 年明治控股分业务收入及增速(十亿日元) ...................................................... 8
图15: 2023 年明治控股食品部分收入结构........................................................................................ 8
图16: 2009-2023 年明治控股毛利率及利润率 ................................................................................ 10
图17: 2023 年明治控股食品板块各业务 OPM ................................................................................ 10
图18: 2023 年中日乳制品消费结构(消费额占比)...................................................................... 10
图19: 2020 年主要乳制品消费国液奶中常温奶占比...................................................................... 10
图20: 2014-2023 年中国酸奶格局(销售额计) ............................................................................ 11
图21: 中国低温鲜奶市场区域性竞争(2020 年).......................................................................... 11
图22: 2017-2023 年伊利股份收入结构 ............................................................................................ 11
图23: 2009-2023 年伊利、明治毛利率、利润率对比 .................................................................... 11
图24: 本周申万一级行业涨跌幅....................................................................................................... 12
图25: 本周食品饮料子板块涨跌幅................................................................................................... 12
图26: 食品饮料行业陆股通持股(%)............................................................................................. 13
图27: 各行业陆股通持股占流通市值的比例(%)............................................................................. 13
图28: 食饮行业当年归母净利润同比增速及动态 PE ..................................................................... 13
图29: 白酒行业当年归母净利润同比增速及动态 PE...................................................................... 13
图30: 高端酒批价走势(元/瓶) ..................................................................................................... 14
图31: 次高端酒批价走势(元/瓶) ................................................................................................. 14
图32: 生鲜乳均价(元/千克) ......................................................................................................... 14
图33: 牛奶及酸奶零售价(元/升) ................................................................................................. 14
图34: 生猪和仔猪价格(元/千克)................................................................................................. 15
图35: 猪粮比价................................................................................................................................... 15
图36: 啤酒产量(万吨)................................................................................................................... 16
图37: 进口大麦单价(美元/吨)..................................................................................................... 16
图38: 黄豆期货价格(元/吨) ......................................................................................................... 16
图39: 国内大豆价格(元/吨) ......................................................................................................... 16
图40: 国内食糖价格(元/吨) ......................................................................................................... 16
图41: 食盐价格零售价(元/公斤) ................................................................................................. 16