机 器学习应用系列之红利高股息
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图 目 录
图1:中证红利指数中信一级行业分布 ..................................................................................................................................................... 1
图2:中证红利指数成分股市值权重分布................................................................................................................................................. 1
图3:中证红利指数历史走势 ....................................................................................................................................................................... 2
图4:XGBoost 算法原理示意 ........................................................................................................................................................................ 5
图5:LightGBM_直方图算法示意 ................................................................................................................................................................ 7
图6:LightGBM_ Leaf-wise 示意 ................................................................................................................................................................... 7
图7:红利主题因子 RankIC ........................................................................................................................................................................... 8
图8:红利主题因子 RankIC-调整后............................................................................................................................................................. 8
图9:红利主题因子多头组合净值 .............................................................................................................................................................. 9
图10:红利主题因子多头分年度表现 ....................................................................................................................................................... 9
图11:红利主题因子多头分年度表现-调整后......................................................................................................................................... 9
图12:红利主题因子空头组合净值..........................................................................................................................................................10
图13:红利高股息股票池各期数量..........................................................................................................................................................11
图14:泛高股息指数净值(全区间) .....................................................................................................................................................12
图15:泛高股息指数净值(分年度) .....................................................................................................................................................12
图16:泛高股息指数行业配置情况(%)..............................................................................................................................................12
图17:泛高股息指数板块配置情况(%)..............................................................................................................................................12
图18:成长-EPS 同比分组测试...................................................................................................................................................................16
图19:成长-ROE 环比分组测试..................................................................................................................................................................16
图20:质量-ROE 标准差分组测试 .............................................................................................................................................................16
图21:质量-ROE 均值/标准差 ....................................................................................................................................................................16
图22:盈利-ROIC 分组测试 .........................................................................................................................................................................16
图23:盈利-营业利润率分组测试 .............................................................................................................................................................16
图24:估值-对数市值分组测试 .................................................................................................................................................................17
图25:估值-股息率分组测试......................................................................................................................................................................17
图26:量价-60 日上行波动分组测试 .......................................................................................................................................................17
图27:量价-60 日价格动量分组测试 .......................................................................................................................................................17
图28:股息兑现 120_60...............................................................................................................................................................................18
图29:股息兑现 90_90 .................................................................................................................................................................................18
图30:股息兑现 120_90...............................................................................................................................................................................19
图31:股息兑现 90_120...............................................................................................................................................................................19
图32:等权泛高股息因子 IC .......................................................................................................................................................................20
图33:等权泛高股息因子分组...................................................................................................................................................................20
图34:强化学习示意 ....................................................................................................................................................................................21
图35:贝尔曼方程示意 ................................................................................................................................................................................22
图36:DQN 模型示意....................................................................................................................................................................................23
图37:DQN 因子 IC ........................................................................................................................................................................................25
图38:DQN 因子分组测试...........................................................................................................................................................................25
图39:DQN 模型历史各大类因子权重.....................................................................................................................................................25